The oil-dollar feedback loop

by | Jun 16, 2008


We are now officially in Feedback Loop Territory.  Earlier today, oil hit another all time record: this time $140 a barrel.  Gordon says it’s “the most worrying situation in the world”. 

But here’s the interesting part.  Why the latest jump?  In essence, because of more bad economic news from the US.  This week, it was worse-than-expected manufacturing data; last time, it was the worst unemployment figures in a quarter century. Either way, the net effect each time has been the same: to send the dollar lower still on foreign exchange markets. 

And, because oil is priced in dollars, each time the greenback falls, it takes more of them to purchase a barrel of oil.  And each time a barrel of oil goes up, the key input for the US economy gets more expensive, and… oh, you get the picture.  Pretty grim to watch.

Author

  • Alex Evans is founder of Larger Us, which explores how we can use psychology to reduce political tribalism and polarisation, a senior fellow at New York University, and author of The Myth Gap: What Happens When Evidence and Arguments Aren’t Enough? (Penguin, 2017). He is a former Campaign Director of the 50 million member global citizen’s movement Avaaz, special adviser to two UK Cabinet Ministers, climate expert in the UN Secretary-General’s office, and was Research Director for the Business Commission on Sustainable Development. Alex lives with his wife and two children in Yorkshire.


More from Global Dashboard

Let’s make climate a culture war!

Let’s make climate a culture war!

If the politics of climate change end up polarised, is that so bad?  No – it’s disastrous. Or so I’ve long thought. Look at the US – where climate is even more polarised than abortion. Result: decades of flip flopping. Ambition under Clinton; reversal...