Four Scenarios and a Future for Communities

Four Scenarios and a Future for Communities

To think through the changes we need to make, it makes sense first to try to understand the new landscape, even as it is still unfolding. To help answer that question, we asked Alex Evans and David Steven, founders of the Long Crisis Network, to develop some scenarios, each describing a different future that could emerge from the events happening around us now.

About us

Global Dashboard is a platform for ideas to tackle the long crisis of globalization and fresh thinking on the pandemic. Our authors work on global issues in think tanks, government, civil society, academia and the media. More…

Editors

Alex Evans  

Founder of the Collective Psychology Project

David Steven 

Senior Fellow, NYU Center on International Cooperation

Scenarios Week on Global Dashboard

Scenarios Week on Global Dashboard

Today, we’re kicking off Scenarios Week, a week of articles from leading thinkers who have formed their own responses to the Long Crisis Scenarios, perspectives on what our world might soon look like, or insights on how we can prepare for an uncertain future.

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Scenarios Week on Global Dashboard

This article is part of our Scenarios Week series, exploring and expanding on the Long Crisis Scenarios. You can find the other articles in the series on our Scenarios Week page. Just over a week ago, we published our latest work as the Long Crisis Network: the...

Our COVID Future: The Long Crisis Scenarios

Created in partnership with: COVID-19 marks a turning point in the 21st century.​ Levels of uncertainty are off the chart, making predictions impossible. ​But if we can create plausible stories about different futures, we create a...

Our COVID Future: The Long Crisis Scenarios

Our COVID Future: The Long Crisis Scenarios

COVID-19 marks a turning point in the 21st century.​ Levels of uncertainty are off the chart, making predictions impossible. ​But if we can create plausible stories about different futures, we create a foundation for decision makers, campaigners, and communities to influence the process of change.​

The Debts We Now Owe Each Other – and How to Pay Them Back

The Debts We Now Owe Each Other – and How to Pay Them Back

In Our Other National Debt, we have tried to make practical proposals for how to start turning gratitude or warm sentiment into real-world action that will make a meaningful difference. Nothing about this is easy, but it’s nonetheless profoundly important. How can we encourage good things to flourish even in rough and damaged soil?

The True Cost of COVID-19 School Closures

The True Cost of COVID-19 School Closures

According to our model, just four months of school and university closures across the United States could result in a $2.5 trillion total loss in future earnings. At a global level, these new data suggest that the current generation of students could lose up to $10 trillion as a result of COVID-19 closures over the course of their careers.

Foxes vs Hedgehogs: The Importance of ‘Followership’ in the Age of COVID-19

Foxes vs Hedgehogs: The Importance of ‘Followership’ in the Age of COVID-19

In recent weeks, the wider internet has felt awash with people who are certain of their expertise in epidemiology, despite weeks earlier being experts in something only tangentially related. When basic errors are pointed out to them, they double down. Admitting you were wrong or simply don’t know is not something humans are very good at doing or rewarding.

#BuildaBridgetoBetter: Recommendations to Drive Pandemic Responses

#BuildaBridgetoBetter: Recommendations to Drive Pandemic Responses

Disasters have a way of focusing the mind, focusing our energies, and harnessing attention. The unfolding disaster that is the coronavirus pandemic is no different: the world is united in our focus on this singular enemy. What is different is that this pandemic is not a one-off event; this is not a storm that we will easily ‘ride out’. There is no clear blue sky on the horizon.

High Five: Building Back Better Children’s Services

High Five: Building Back Better Children’s Services

We have previously highlighted the enormous sacrifice the world’s children are being asked to make to help protect the most vulnerable from COVID-19. Now, we’re outlining five actions we should start working on today to ensure children’s services are back up and running as soon as possible, and that they return strengthened and improved.