A very rough first analysis of the Copenhagen Outcome, two hours after the summit finished.
A rough guide to Copenfailure: conclusion
In the first three parts of this series (1, 2, 3), David and I have explored how Copenhagen might fail; what might lead it to do so; and why some kinds of...
A rough guide to Copenfailure (part 3)
In a couple of previous posts (1, 2), Alex has been looking at how and why Copenhagen might fail - but here's a fresh question: what's the difference between...
A rough guide to Copenfailure (part 2)
Yesterday I published a post looking at how the Copenhagen climate summit might fail. Today: why it might fail. David and I have identified seven main...
A rough guide to Copenfailure (part 1)
With three days to go until Copenhagen begins, there's increasing awareness that the likeliest scenario is that Copenhagen will fail to produce a robust deal...
Musical chairs at the IMF
Sounds like the US is playing hardball at the IMF. The Economist's Free Exchange blog takes up the tale: When the IMF was formed, it was agreed that its...
Britain = the new Norway? I *wish*
At the Chatham House seminar a couple of weeks ago on David and my paper on how the UK organises for influence - part of the Institute's program on rethinking...
Copenhagen “in disarray”? Don’t believe the hype
The Guardian's leading with a rather breathless piece this evening on how the Copenhagen talks are ... in disarray today after developing countries reacted...
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Let’s make climate a culture war!
If the politics of climate change end up polarised, is that so bad? No – it’s disastrous. Or so I’ve long thought. Look at the US – where climate is even more polarised than abortion. Result: decades of flip flopping. Ambition under Clinton; reversal...
Big Elephants and Small Islands: getting beyond the New Aid Orthodoxy
Official development assistance (ODA) – or aid – is a small but conspicuous pillar of the international order, and its frailties are being exposed by COVID as surely as those of the other foundations of this order. The assumptions underpinning aid and its management...
Uncertainty and Humanitarian Action: What Donald Rumsfeld can teach us
Since its onset, one striking feature of the coronavirus pandemic (COVID-19) has been the narrative power of its novelty. This global narrative depicts COVID-19 pushing humanity towards a ‘historical divide’ of BC and AC (before and after COVID-19), where unknown,...