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	<title>Global Dashboard - Blog covering International affairs and global risks &#187; France</title>
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	<link>http://www.globaldashboard.org</link>
	<description>Global risks and how to respond to them, edited by Alex Evans and David Steven</description>
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		<title>Armenians in Turkey: an unextinguished light</title>
		<link>http://www.globaldashboard.org/2012/01/01/armenians-in-turkey-an-unextinguished-light/</link>
		<comments>http://www.globaldashboard.org/2012/01/01/armenians-in-turkey-an-unextinguished-light/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 01 Jan 2012 17:55:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mark Weston</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Conflict and security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Middle East and North Africa]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Armenia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[France]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[genocide]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[turkey]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.globaldashboard.org/?p=19515</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[To find out how world peace was coming along I rose early this morning (not easy after a New Year&#8217;s Eve engaged in one of the marathon rakı and cards sessions of which middle-aged Turks are so fond) to attend mass at the local Armenian church. That it is possible to write such a sentence [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.globaldashboard.org/wp-content/uploads/ermenı-kılıse-1.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-19532" src="http://www.globaldashboard.org/wp-content/uploads/ermenı-kılıse-1-224x300.jpg" alt="" width="224" height="300" /></a></p>
<p>To find out how world peace was coming along I rose early this morning (not easy after a New Year&#8217;s Eve engaged in one of the marathon rakı and cards sessions of which middle-aged Turks are so fond) to attend mass at the local Armenian church.</p>
<p>That it is possible to write such a sentence is a small miracle. A century ago, the port town of Iskenderun in southern Turkey had a thriving population of Armenians. Today there are just one hundred left &#8211; ten of them joined me, bleary-eyed, at mass. Their church, founded in the late nineteenth century, reopened in 2011 having been closed for decades due to the absence of a priest. It owes its resurrection to an earnest young member of the community who, fearful that without a focal point the old traditions would die out, decided to fill the gap, and went to Lebanon and Jerusalem to be trained as a priest. He now ministers to the small church of Iskenderun and the even smaller chapel of a nearby village, the last Armenian settlement in Turkey.</p>
<p>During a break in the three hour-long service, the elderly man sitting next to me introduces himself and asks my business. Within a minute or two, unprompted, he remarks that &#8216;this country has done terrible things to Christians.&#8217; In 1916, he tells me, his parents had been forced to flee to Iskenderun from the interior. Turkish soldiers were killing Armenians in the surrounding region, and in anticipation of the troops&#8217; arrival the people of his village had begun to join in. This was the beginning of a series of events described by Armenians and most of the world as genocide and by Turks, unconvincingly, as war. At least a million people are thought to have died in the ensuing months. Iskenderun itself was not immune to the killings, the old man says, but because it was a French protectorate at the time it provided a safer haven than much of the rest of the country.</p>
<p>Today the town continues to be a welcoming home to its small Armenian population. The priest tells me that he and his congregants have no problems with their fellow townspeople, nearly all of whom are Turks, and that Iskenderun is a fine place for Armenians to live. In recent months the oafish political posturing of Sarkozy has dominated the Armenia-Turkey debate, but as we enter what is likely to be a turbulent new year the resilience and endurance of Iskenderun&#8217;s Armenian community tells a more positive, constructive story. A Happy New Year to all.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
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		<item>
		<title>Kosovo re-assessed?</title>
		<link>http://www.globaldashboard.org/2011/01/12/kosovo-re-assessed/</link>
		<comments>http://www.globaldashboard.org/2011/01/12/kosovo-re-assessed/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 12 Jan 2011 11:53:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alistair Burnett</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Conflict and security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Europe and Central Asia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Britain]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[crime]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[France]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Germany]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kosovo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[self detemination]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Serbia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[territorial integrity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[united states]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.globaldashboard.org/?p=16301</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I&#8217;ve written on the BBC Editors site about whether the Kosovo intervention is being reassessed in the light of allegations against Prime Minister Thaci Kosovo has been back on the front pages in recent weeks with lurid allegations against its Prime Minister and dominant politician, Hashim Thaci, accusing him of involvement in organised crime and [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;ve written on the BBC Editors site about whether the Kosovo intervention is being reassessed in the light of allegations against Prime Minister Thaci</p>
<p>Kosovo has been back on the front pages in recent weeks with lurid allegations against its Prime Minister and dominant politician, Hashim Thaci, accusing him of involvement in organised crime and even harvesting human organs for sale for profit.  Mr Thaci has denied the allegations. </p>
<p>Mr Thaci has also been in the news as his party was accused of vote rigging in last month&#8217;s parliamentary elections which were the first organised by the Kosovo government. This week, the vote had to be rerun in some of Mr Thaci&#8217;s strongholds and a new government should be formed in the next few weeks. </p>
<p>Why is this interesting to people who don&#8217;t follow affairs in south east Europe closely? <a href="http://www.bbc.co.uk/blogs/theeditors/2011/01/kosovo_reassessed.html">Read More</a></p>
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		<title>Sarkozy threat to pull France out of Euro?</title>
		<link>http://www.globaldashboard.org/2010/05/14/sarkozy-threat-to-pull-france-out-of-euro/</link>
		<comments>http://www.globaldashboard.org/2010/05/14/sarkozy-threat-to-pull-france-out-of-euro/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 14 May 2010 10:16:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>David Steven</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Europe and Central Asia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[euro]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[eurozone]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[France]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nicolas sarkozy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sarkozy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.globaldashboard.org/?p=14185</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Seems Nicolas Sarkozy, Global Dashboard&#8217;s favourite European leader, was in typically understated form during the recent Eurozone crisis summit: Sarkozy demanded &#8220;a compromise from everyone to support Greece &#8230; or France would reconsider its position in the euro,&#8221; according to one source cited by El País. &#8220;Sarkozy went as far as banging his fist on [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Seems Nicolas Sarkozy, Global Dashboard&#8217;s <a href="http://www.globaldashboard.org/tag/sarkozy/">favourite European leader</a>, was in typically understated form during the recent <a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2010/may/14/nicolas-sarkozy-threatened-euro-withdrawal">Eurozone crisis summit</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>Sarkozy demanded &#8220;a compromise from everyone to support Greece &#8230; or France would reconsider its position in the euro,&#8221; according to one source cited by El País.</p>
<p>&#8220;Sarkozy went as far as banging his fist on the table and threatening to leave the euro,&#8221; said one unnamed Socialist leader who was at the meeting with Zapatero. &#8220;That obliged Angela Merkel to bend and reach an agreement.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
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		<title>Foreign Office leads EU coup</title>
		<link>http://www.globaldashboard.org/2010/03/01/foreign-office-leads-eu-coup/</link>
		<comments>http://www.globaldashboard.org/2010/03/01/foreign-office-leads-eu-coup/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 01 Mar 2010 10:29:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>David Steven</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Europe and Central Asia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Influence and networks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[UK]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[EU]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[European Union]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FCO]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[France]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Germany]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.globaldashboard.org/?p=13107</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It&#8217;s taken as a given here in the UK that Brits wield little influence in Europe. But apparently &#8211; not. According to the Guardian, an FCO-led coup is under way: Germany is planning to stop what it sees as a British campaign to dominate European foreign policy-making under Lady Catherine Ashton, the Guardian can disclose. [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It&#8217;s taken as a given here in the UK that Brits wield little influence in Europe. But apparently &#8211; not. According to the Guardian, an <a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2010/feb/28/germany-france-dispute-ashton-european-powers">FCO-led coup</a> is under way:</p>
<blockquote><p>Germany is planning to stop what it sees as a British campaign to dominate European foreign policy-making under Lady Catherine Ashton, the Guardian can disclose.</p>
<p>Amid growing criticism across the EU of the performance of Baroness Ashton of Upholland, the EU&#8217;s new high representative for foreign and security policy, Berlin and Paris are alarmed at the prominence of British officials in the new EU diplomatic service being formed under Ashton.</p>
<p>A confidential German foreign ministry document analysing the creation of the EU&#8217;s new diplomatic service, seen by the Guardian, has concluded that Britain has grabbed an &#8220;excessive&#8221; and &#8220;over-proportionate&#8221; role&#8230;</p>
<p>The French contend that the inexperienced Ashton is being schooled in policy-making by the Foreign Office. Diplomats and officials in Brussels also see Britain&#8217;s hand in one of Ashton&#8217;s first appointments, made last week. She named Vygaudas Ušackas, a former Lithuanian foreign minister and ambassador in London, as the EU&#8217;s special envoy to Afghanistan. He was widely seen as the UK&#8217;s favoured contender after Britain withdrew its own candidate because it secured the post of Nato envoy in Kabul.</p>
<p>The Germans are also increasingly unhappy at what they see as the erosion of their influence and being cut out of decision-taking.</p></blockquote>
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		<title>Climate &#8211; Europe&#8217;s many voices</title>
		<link>http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/09/22/climate-sarkozy/</link>
		<comments>http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/09/22/climate-sarkozy/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 22 Sep 2009 09:50:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>David Steven</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Climate and resource scarcity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Europe and Central Asia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[climate change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[France]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[global warming]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nicolas sarkozy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sarkozy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[UN]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[United Nations]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.globaldashboard.org/?p=11526</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Today, Ban-Ki Moon, worried by fading prospects for a climate deal at Copenhagen, will try and knock heads (of state) together at his Summit on Climate Change. Here&#8217;s the list of speakers: H.E. Mr. Ban Ki-moon, Secretary-General of the United Nations Dr. Rajendra Pachauri, Chair, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) H.E. Mr. Barack Obama, [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/cmoi/466102525/"><img class="alignnone" title="Sarkozy Made Up" src="http://farm1.static.flickr.com/231/466102525_b44548c461_o.jpg" alt="" width="480" height="640" /></a></p>
<p>Today, Ban-Ki Moon, worried by fading prospects for a climate deal at Copenhagen, will try and knock heads (of state) together at his Summit on Climate Change. Here&#8217;s the <a href="http://www.un.org/wcm/content/site/climatechange/cache/offonce/pages/2009summit/programme;jsessionid=B8EEFDBB172347EDCCE45C82C4DE79D4">list of speakers</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>H.E. Mr. Ban Ki-moon, Secretary-General of the United Nations<br />
Dr. Rajendra Pachauri, Chair, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)<br />
H.E. Mr. Barack Obama, President of the United States of America<br />
H.E. Mr. Mohamed Nasheed, President of the Republic of Maldives<br />
H.E. Mr. Hu Jintao, President of the Peoples Republic of China<br />
H.E. Mr. Yukio Hatoyama, Prime Minister of Japan<br />
H.E. Mr. Paul Kagame, President of Rwanda<br />
H.E. Mr. Fredrik Reinfeldt, Prime Minister of Sweden<br />
H.E. Mr. Óscar Arias Sánchez, President of Costa Rica<br />
H.E. Mr. Nicolas Sarkozy, President of France<br />
Professor Wangari Muta Maathai, Founder, Green Belt Movement, Kenya (Civil Society)<br />
Ms. Yugratna Srivastava, Asia-Pacific UNEP/TUNZA Junior-Board representative, India, age 13 (Youth)<br />
H.E. Mr. Tillman Joseph Thomas, Prime Minister of Grenada<br />
H.E. Mr. Ahmad Babiker Nahar , Minister of Environment and Urban Development of Sudan<br />
H.E. Mr. Lars Løkke Rasmussen, Prime Minister of Denmark</p></blockquote>
<p>It&#8217;s a pretty standard list &#8211; major powers (check), regional balance (check), soon-to-be-submerged-island-state (check), boffin (check), civil society (check), token youth (check). But then you hit the European problem. The Swedes hold the Presidency and thus speak for the EU. Rasmussen is there because he&#8217;s going to shoulder a lot of the blame if Copenhagen fails to deliver. <strong>But how on earth has Nicolas Sarkozy managed to clamber onto the platform?</strong></p>
<p>It beggars belief that, just when Europeans most need to speak with a single voice, the French president is &#8211; once again &#8211; giving his ego free rein. Or have I missed something?</p>
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		<title>Germany’s lonely walk</title>
		<link>http://www.globaldashboard.org/2008/12/02/germany%e2%80%99s-lonely-walk/</link>
		<comments>http://www.globaldashboard.org/2008/12/02/germany%e2%80%99s-lonely-walk/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 02 Dec 2008 12:43:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Daniel Korski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Europe and Central Asia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Afghanistan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[EU]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[France]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Germany]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Iraq]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Merkel]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NATO]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[russia]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.globaldashboard.org/?p=3085</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[“Never let Germany walk alone”, Francois Mitterand apparently used to tell his military commanders. But two decades after the end of the Cold War, Germany has slipped away not only from France’s embrace, but also from its traditional role within the EU. On a range of issues, Germany is going-alone, even if doing so is [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>“Never let Germany walk alone”, Francois Mitterand apparently used to tell his military commanders. But two decades after the end of the Cold War, Germany has slipped away not only from France’s embrace, but also from its traditional role within the EU. On a range of issues, Germany is going-alone, even if doing so is detrimental to Berlin’s own interests and corrosive of alliance relations.</p>
<p>On Russia, for example, Germany has been almost hysterically concerned that the Baltic states would push the EU towards an anti-Moscow stance. In NATO and EU discussions, it has often been German diplomats who have debased the debate, accusing those, like Britain and Sweden, who want a tougher post-Georgia policy towards Russia as wanting to start a new Cold War.</p>
<p>To <a title="Economist article" href="http://www.economist.com/world/europe/displaystory.cfm?story_id=12641700&amp;fsrc=rss">The Economist</a>, these mishaps are a function of Germany’s political situation. Facing a general election next year, Chancellor Angela Merkel is locked in a battle with the SDP’s likely front-runner and current Foreign Minister Frank-Walter Steinmeier, making every foreign policy issue a battle for domestic advantage. Things have not been helped by the notoriously poor relationship between Mrs Merkel and France’s president, Nicolas Sarkozy, who’s frenetic diplomatic style cuts against the German chancellor’s measured ways.</p>
<p>But the problem runs deeper and may not be solved by the future German elections or the recently held U.S ones. For while the polls show the CDU in the lead, they are sufficiently tight to be able to force another so-called “grand coalition” between CDU and CDU, which would see a re-run of all the foreign policy battles.</p>
<p>The election of Barrack Obama in the U.S is also unlikely to make a big difference. On Iran, Afghanistan and Iraq — trouble-spots that will to occupy the Obama administration’s time —Germany’s position is at best awkward. Germany’s industry still has strong links with Iran; last month Germany&#8217;s ambassador to Iran, Herbert Honsowitz, told his Iranian hosts not to worry about Berlin&#8217;s announcement that it would reduce trade links as German companies would use the United Arab Emirates as a middleman for more than $4 billion in commerce.</p>
<p>And everyone expects President Obama to ask Germany to send more troops to NATO’s Afghan mission and deploy some of those 4500 soldiers already there to the war-torn south. German diplomats are furiously compiling arguments that would counter such a request –- and may offer police officers instead &#8212; but these are unlikely to make too much of an impact when President Obama makes the public case and Secretary Clinton does the follow-up.</p>
<p>Then there is climate change? Mrs Merkel was once seen as of the key reformers, even at one point dubbed &#8220;the climate chancellor&#8221;. But she is now pushing for parts of Germany’s industry to be exempted from emissions trading. This may put her at odds not only with the Obama administration, but also Congress, now that Democratic congressman Henry Waxman has taken the reigns of the House Energy and Commerce Committee.</p>
<p>Running through all these issues is one big question: what role does Germany want to play in the world? Does it want to be a large Switzerland &#8211; unarmed, mediating between all sides, but unwilling to take bold positions, devote resources and make sacrifices? Or does it want to be a key ally for the U.S, Britain and France, a motor of the EU and a pillar of the Euro-Atlantic community?</p>
<p>On my recent visits to Berlin I have become convinced that many of Germany’s politicians know current policy is not working. They also know that many of the world’s problems –- from Russia to Iran –- can only be solved by Germany’s active involvement. However, a large proportion of the public does not want to accept the price that has to be paid for Germany’s freedom, security and prosperity. And German politicians of all hues have been unwilling to make the case as forcefully as required, in part –- but not exclusively &#8212; because of the political situation. However, neither Germany nor its allies can afford for Europe’s largest country to walk alone.</p>
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