Recent months have seen increasing interest in the idea that Rio+20 could be the launch pad for a new set of ‘Sustainable Development Goals’ (SDGs). But what would SDGs cover, what would a process to define and then implement them look like, and what would some of the key political challenges be? This short briefing [...]
Any global framework for development which is agreed after 2015 will be a political deal between states. This paper looks at recent trends in policy and politics in emerging economies and traditional donors to assess where a consenus might lie. It suggests some principles for a post-2015 agreement which emerge from recent policy developments
Paper from ODI and UNDP, authored by Claire Melamed and Andy Sumner, summarising the evidence on the impact of the MDGs, and looking at current trends in poverty and in global governance that will affect the shape and the scope of any future agreement on global development.
Why resource scarcity will be a game changer for global justice agendas, and what aid donors, NGOs and other development opinion formers need to do about it. WWF / Oxfam report by Alex Evans.
The Rio 2012 sustainable development summit is at risk of being the latest in a long line of damp squibs on environmental multilateralism – but could still make real progress, if it focuses on greening growth and building resilience to shocks and stresses, and above all faces up to the issues of fair shares that arise in a world of limits.
How national and international governance systems need to be reconfigured to meet the challenges of food security in a world of tighter supply and demand balances and increasing volatility. Report for Oxfam’s new Grow campaign by Alex Evans. (May 2011)
Article on scarcity of resources in Pakistan and what it means for the country.
Text of speech by Alex Evans to Institute for New Economic Thinking annual conference at Bretton Woods; the YouTube video is here. (April 2011) Download Speech
Article published on China Dialogue on reasons for the new food price spike, including potential implications of the current drought in China. (February 2011) Download Article
Eight critical uncertainties for development over the next decade, and ten recommendations for what ActionAid – who commissioned this report – should do to prepare for them
Article published in World Politics Review on current American foreign policy
Report asking how organisations can prosper in what will be a turbulent period for world order
Center on International Cooperation report on what forms of multilateral cooperation are needed to manage scarcity of resources
Background paper on whether resource scarcity and climate change will cause increased violent conflict
Chatham House report on how the UK’s new coalition government should upgrade and reform the way Britain conducts foreign policy
Introductory remarks by David Steven at a Brookings Institution seminar on risk and resilience in the global system (March 2010)
Talk given by David Steven at Gresham College on risk and resilience in the UK housing market, as part of a Long Finance Roundtable meeting (March 2010)
Report by David Steven in response to the FSA’s Mortgage Market Review
Brookings Institution report by Alex Evans, Bruce Jones and David Steven on how globalisation could fail – and how it could be made more resilient. Published to coincide with the 40th anniversary World Economic Forum in Davos.
Report by Alex Evans and David Steven analysing the post-Copenhagen context on climate change, including a proposed 12 point action plan. Written for the Brookings Institution / NYU Center on International Cooperation Managing Global Insecurity programme.
World Food Programme report on the state of the science on what climate change means for hunger, plus policy recommendations. Authored by IPCC Impacts Chair Martin Parry with Mark Rosengrant, Tim Wheeler and Global Dashboard’s Alex Evans (December 2009)
Presentation by Alex Evans to a seminar organised for the UN Department of Political Affairs by the Geneva Centre for Security Policy (August 2009)
Article on risk and resilience by Alex Evans and David Steven – part of a special in World Politics Review on risk and resilience in a globalized age (July 2009)
Report by Alex Evans and David Steven exploring the future international institutional requirements for managing climate change, and including three scenarios for climate institutions between now and 2030. Commissioned by the UK Department for International Development. (May 2009)
Article by Alex Evans and David Steven exploring resilience as a political agenda – part of a special edition of Renewal on the transformation of foreign policy (February 2009)
Climate and cities think piece, co-authored by David Steven and the British Council’s Peter Upton (29 January 2009)
Chatham House pamphlet by Alex Evans on how scarcity issues will shape the outlook for global food production, and the actions that policymakers need to take at the international level and in developing countries to ensure food security in the 21st century
Paper by David Steven, presented to “Reforming International Institutions – Meeting the Challenges of the 21st Century,” a conference organized by the United Nations University and the British Embassy in Tokyo (Jan 2009).
Speech by Alex Evans at the Tomorrow Network (25 November 2008)
Paper by Alex Evans and David Steven on financial reform and wider multilateralism, published ahead of the G20 ‘Bretton Woods II’ Summit (November 2008).
Speech by David Steven to RUSI Conference on UK Resilience (8 October 2008)
Chapter by Alex Evans and David Steven in the Foreign & Commonwealth Office publication, ‘Engagement: public diplomacy in a globalised world’ (July 2008). Download Chapter
Draft report by Alex Evans exploring multilateral system reforms needed in order to manage resource scarcity issues more effectively. The final version will be published in early 2010 (July 2008)
Speech by Alex Evans at UK Parliament (8 July 2008)
Speech by David Steven at the UNU G8 Symposium (4 July 2008)
Speech by Alex Evans to United Nations Association UK (7 June 2008)
Speech by David Steven to the UK Defence Academy’s Advanced Research and Assessment Group seminar on Strategic Communications, Public Diplomacy and Afghanistan (4 June 2008).
Speech by David Steven to the University of Westminster Symposium on Transformational Public Diplomacy (30 April 2008).
Briefing paper by Alex Evans, published through Chatham House’s food programme (April 2008).
Speech by David Steven to RUSI Conference on Critical National Infrastructure (16 April 2008).
Paper by Alex Evans and David Steven, commissioned by Gordon Brown and presented to heads of state at the Progressive Governance Summit (April 2008).
Chapter by Alex Evans and David Steven, as part of the British Council’s Transatlantic Network 2020 book ‘Talking Trans-Atlantic’ (March 2008).
Article by Alex Evans for the Environmental Policy & Law Journal (January 2008).
Report by Alex Evans and David Steven, written for the London Accord (December 2007).
New paper by Alex Evans on climate policy after 2012 from the Center on International Cooperation (October 2007).
Chapter on the FCO from Manchester University Press’s Alternative Comprehensive Spending Review, by David Steven (September 2007).
Note by Alex Evans and David Steven about how to restructure the UK’s foreign policy system in order to manage trans-boundary global risks better (April 2007).
Talk given by David Steven at the Wilton Park conference: The Future of Public Diplomacy. Focuses on strategies to drive public diplomacy to the heart of the foreign policy armoury (March 2007).
Articles and Publications
Your criticism of "nudging" is unfair, I believe. The book was clearly meant to make citizens being better off, not worse. And simply because corporations use misleading information to sell more credits, houses etc., it is important that the government protects consumers and makes sure they have all the information they need. "Nudge" provides some examples how this might look like. There are other examples where "nudging" is important, for example in pension planning, where the short-term interests of citizens conflict with long-term interests.
There is of course a risk of being misleaded by government – not only since the invention of nudging. But why should only corporations use the science of behavioural economics and not governments? If people don't want to be nudged by their PM and his Ministers, they can simply vote for another government. But I would imagine that many would welcome a friendly "nudge" …
Hi Daniel,
I know that the book says we can use nudging to nudge people to more enlightened decisions. But the book is about manipulation techniques, and those techniques can be used for all sorts of different ethical and political goals.
The insights of behavioural economics can be used two ways:
1) People are prone to all sorts of cognitive biases and mistakes. Therefore, work with these biases and manipulate them to achieve your goals (which may be enlightened, or selfish).
2) People are prone to all sorts of cognitive biases and mistakes. Therefore, educate people about them and try to help them become less in thrall to them, and more rational in their pursuit of wellbeing.
Nudge is an example of approach (1). I'd prefer approach (2).
I take your point, and I'd prefer approach (2) as well. But I also see that many people (and I do not exclude myself) are lazy and don't want to learn about their biases and become educated before being able to sign up for a retirement plan.
What I liked about "Nudge" was the idea of changing the default positions. That way, people could still decide to have no retirement plan and spend all their money on expensive watches and holidays in the Caribbean, but they would in fact be encouraged to save their money.
And I see no ethical problems if governments (or in this case corporations) change default options …
You're talking about 'presumed consent' – when the default option is opt in, rather than opt out.
I think the idea of 'presumed consent' can be dangerous when used by governments or corporations. It's kind of hiding things in the small print, isn't it? It's assuming people are too lazy and dumb to really think about the choices in front of them, and taking advantage of that to achieve something YOU want.
Governments are talking about introducing presumed consent for organ donation. But should governments presume consent for this? What are the limits of presumed consent? When can it ethically be used, and when not?
I mean, surely on really serious issues, we shouldn't be using opt in or opt out – we should make people actively choose one option or another, and try to present the choice as clearly as possible, so they don't get 'buyer's regret', when they realized they signed up to something they weren't aware of.
In general, behavioural economics emphasizes how irrational, automatic and unconscious much of our decision-making is. But it also asserts that we CAN become more rational, more conscious, more self-aware.
I would like a politics based on the Socratic idea of people being educated to be more reasonable, more responsible, more autonomous, rather than unconsciously manipulated by enlightened controller-wonks. Unless I'm in control of course. In which case I'm all for enlightened autocracy.
Just for the record: I would not want to be associated with anything like "enlightened autocracy" and don't think that's what Cass and Sunstein had in mind when writing "Nudge". Anyway, it seems that it's a very controversial issue and it'll be interesting to see what Cameron's "nudge unit" will propose – I'll follow your blog for harsh criticism of the government