Re: Ways in which we are screwed #94

A propos of David’s post, here’s what’s scaring me witless this weekend:

The Ug99 strain of the killer wheat fungus (stem rust), which recently infected wheat farms in western Iran, is a serious threat to global food security, agricultural scientists have warned. They have said the fungus may affect additional wheat-producing countries.

Mahmoud Solh, director-general of the International Centre for Agricultural Research in the Dry Areas (ICARDA), was quoted in a 20 March ICARDA press release as saying that he and his fellow scientists were convinced that Ug99 would quickly spread beyond Iran and that, with the long distance travel of rust spores, Ug99 would soon affect farms in the Middle East, Central Asia, South Asia and East Asia.

Richard Brettell, director of the Biodiversity and Integrated Gene Management Programme at ICARDA, told IRIN on 26 March that halting the spread of the stem rust spores is difficult since they are dispersed by the wind. “The fungus can to some extent be controlled by the application of fungicides [as a spray]; however, these need to be applied at an early stage of infection before the disease takes hold,” he said.

Brettell said the most effective way of controlling the disease is to grow resistant varieties. But he warned: “The problem is that almost all the wheat varieties grown in West and South Asia are known to be susceptible to Ug99. It will take time and coordination to replace them with resistant varieties.”

Charming China while criticising her human rights record: Kevin Rudd shows us how

Australia’s PM Kevin Rudd – who as David noted is “surely the wonkiest head of state ever” – continues to charm the pants off everyone he comes across. 

While Gordon Brown manages to annoy everyone with his foreign policy equivocations (FT: “He will not be going to the opening ceremony of the Beijing Olympics, but that should in no way be construed as a boycott. He receives the will-o’-the-wisp Olympic flame at 10 Downing Street but lets it be known that he did not touch it.”), Kevin achieves the opposite: he goes to Beijing, wags the finger on human rights, and leaves his audience purring.

Here’s an excerpt from his Beijing speech last week:

This year, as China hosts the Olympics, the eyes of the world will be on you and the city of Beijing. It will be a chance for China to engage directly with the world, both on the sports field and on the streets of Beijing. Some have called for a boycott of the Beijing Olympics because of recent problems in Tibet. As I said in London on Sunday, I do not agree. I believe the Olympics are important for China’s continuing engagement with the world.

Australia like most other countries recognises China’s sovereignty over Tibet. But we also believe it is necessary to recognise there are significant human rights problem in Tibet. The current situation in Tibet is of concern to Australians. We recognise the need for all parties to avoid violence and find a solution through dialogue. As a long-standing friend of China I intend to have a straightforward discussion with China’s leaders on this.  We wish to see the year 2008 as one of harmony, and celebration – not one of conflict and contention.

So obviously that would lead to swift condemnation from the Chinese press for ‘meddling’, together with vociferous outrage from students, nationalists and other hotheads, right?  Er, not quite.  The Australian newspaper polled some of the audience afterwards:

Although Mr Rudd’s comments about “significant human rights problems in Tibet,” might draw ire from his hosts Premier Wen Jiabao and President Hu Jintao, China’s top students appeared unfazed. Many went so far as to agree with Mr Rudd that handling ongoing unrest in Tibet peacefully and through dialogue was the best way to resolve the issue that has placed China’s communist leaders under the global spotlight for nearly a month.

“I agreed with what he said,” Li Yang, a graduate student in environmental sciences, said following the speech. “The Tibetan issue should be resolved without violence and through dialogue, this is correct.” Although Mr Rudd’s speech touched on many such sensitive issues, he also received praise for voicing intentions to become a friend in the true Chinese tradition, who can “offer unflinching advice and counsels restraint”. 

And of course, it can’t have hurt that the whole speech was delivered in flawless Mandarin: 

“His Chinese is very good, he speaks Chinese very well,” said Hong Ziyun, a first year law student. “He really understands Chinese history and culture.”

Meanwhile, China Daily had this to say: “Australian Prime Minister Kevin Rudd enthralled his audience at Peking University with an intimate grasp of China affairs and a thorough understanding of global politics yesterday.” 

Top marks to Rudd for diplomatic deftness.  But also a clue, maybe, as to what kind of approach towards dealing with current concerns over Tibet is likely to have most influence…